SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 Delta variant replication, sensitivity to neutralising antibodies and vaccine breakthrough
1Cambridge Institute of Therapeutic Immunology & Infectious Disease (CITIID), Cambridge, UK
2Department of Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
3National Centre for Disease Control, Delhi, India
4MRC – Laboratory of Molecular Biology, Cambridge, UK
5Medical Research Council (MRC) Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, UK
6University College London, London, UK
7CSIR Institute of Genomics and Integrative Biology, Delhi, India
8Department of Infectious Diseases, Imperial College London, UK
9NIHR Bioresource, Cambridge, UK
10Sri Ganga Ram Hospital, New Delhi, India
11Indraprastha Apollo Hospital, New Delhi
12Northern Railway Central Hospital, New Delhi, India
13Wellcome-MRC Cambridge Stem Cell Institute, Cambridge, UK
14Department of Physiology, Development and Neuroscience, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
15Humabs Biomed SA, a subsidiary of Vir Biotechnology, 6500 Bellinzona, Switzerland
16Institute of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Hiroshima University, Hiroshima 7348551, Japan
17Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Public Health, Tokyo 1690073, Japan
18Division of Systems Virology, The Institute of Medical Science, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo 1088639, Japan
19CREST, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama 3220012, Japan
20Section of Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Denmark
21Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, UK
22Africa Health Research Institute, Durban, South Africa
#Address for correspondence: rkg20@cam.ac.uk; a.agrawal@igib.in; partho_rakshit@yahoo.comAbstract
The SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 (Delta) variant was first identified in the state of Maharashtra in late 2020 and spread throughout India, outcompeting pre-existing lineages including B.1.617.1 (Kappa) and B.1.1.7 (Alpha). In vitro, B.1.617.2 is 6-fold less sensitive to serum neutralising antibodies from recovered individuals, and 8-fold less sensitive to vaccine-elicited antibodies as compared to wild type Wuhan-1 bearing D614G. Serum neutralising titres against B.1.617.2 were lower in ChAdOx-1 versus BNT162b2 vaccinees. B.1.617.2 spike pseudotyped viruses exhibited compromised sensitivity to monoclonal antibodies against the receptor binding domain (RBD) and N-terminal domain (NTD), in particular to the clinically approved bamlavinimab and imdevimab monoclonal antibodies. B.1.617.2 demonstrated higher replication efficiency in both airway organoid and human airway epithelial systems as compared to B.1.1.7, associated with B.1.617.2 spike being in a predominantly cleaved state compared to B.1.1.7. Additionally we observed that B.1.617.2 had higher replication and spike mediated entry as compared to B.1.617.1, potentially explaining B.1.617.2 dominance. In an analysis of over 130 SARS-CoV-2 infected healthcare workers across three centres in India during a period of mixed lineage circulation, we observed substantially reduced ChAdOx-1 vaccine efficacy against B.1.617.2 relative to non-B.1.617.2. Compromised vaccine efficacy against the highly fit and immune evasive B.1.617.2 Delta variant warrants continued infection control measures in the post-vaccination era.
Article notes
Competing Interest Statement
The authors have declared no competing interest.
Introduction
India’s first wave of SARS-CoV-2 infections in mid-2020 was relatively mild and was controlled by a nationwide lockdown. Since easing of restrictions, India has seen expansion in cases of COVID-19 since March 2021 with widespread fatalities and a death toll of over 400,000. The B.1.1.7 Alpha variant, introduced by travel from the United Kingdom (UK) in late 2020, expanded in the north of India and is known to be more transmissible than previous viruses bearing the D614G spike mutation, whilst maintaining sensitivity to vaccine elicited neutralising antibodies1,2. The B.1.617 variant was first identified in the state of Maharashtra in late 2020/early 20213, spreading throughout India and to at least 90 countries.
The first sub-lineage to be detected was B. 1.617.14–6, followed by B. 1.617.2, both bearing the L452R spike receptor binding motif mutation also observed in B.1.427/B. 1.4297,8. This mutation was previously reported to confer increased infectivity and a modest loss of susceptibility to neutralising antibodies9,10. B.1.617.2, termed the Delta variant by WHO, has since dominated over B.1.617.1 (Kappa variant) and other lineages including B.1.1.7 globally (https://nextstrain.org/sars-cov-2)11. B.1.617.2 bears spike mutations T19R, G142D, E156G, F157del, R158del, L452R, T478K, D614G, P681R and D950N relative to Wuhan-1 D614G.
Although vaccines have been available since early 2021, achieving near universal coverage in adults has been an immense logistical challenge, in particular for populous nations where B.1.617.2 is growing rapidly with considerable morbidity and mortality12. Current vaccines were designed to target the B.1, Wuhan-1 virus, and the emergence of variants with reduced susceptibility to vaccines such as B.1.351 and P.1 has raised fears for longer term control and protection through vaccination13,14, particularly in risk groups15,16. The specific reasons behind the explosive global growth of B.1.617.2 in populations remain unclear. Possible explanations include evasion of neutralising antibodies generated through vaccination or prior infection, as well as increased infectivity.
Results
SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 shows reduced sensitivity to neutralising antibodies
We first plotted the relative proportion of variants in new cases of SARS-CoV-2 in India since the start of 2021. Whilst B.1.617.1 emerged earlier, it has been replaced by the Delta variant B.1.617.2 (Figure 1a). We hypothesised that B.1.617.2 would exhibit immune evasion to antibody responses generated by previous SARS-CoV-2 infection. We used sera from twelve individuals infected during the first UK wave in mid-2020 (likely following infection with SARS-CoV-2 Wuhan-1). These sera were tested for ability to neutralise a B.1.617.2 viral isolate (obtained from nose/throat swab), in comparison to a B.1.1.7 variant isolate and a wild type (WT) Wuhan-1 virus bearing D614G in spike. The Delta variant contains several spike mutations that are located at positions within the structure that are predicted to alter its function (Figure 1b). We found that the B.1.1.7 virus isolate was 2.3-fold less sensitive to the sera compared to the WT, and that B.1.617.2 was 5.7-fold less sensitive to the sera (Figure 1c). Importantly in the same assay, the B.1.351 Beta variant that emerged in South Africa demonstrated an 8.2-fold loss of neutralisation sensitivity relative to WT.
We used the same B.1.617.2 live virus isolate to test susceptibility to vaccine elicited serum neutralising antibodies in individuals following vaccination with two doses ChAdOx-1 or BNT162b2. These experiments showed a loss of sensitivity for B.1.617.2 compared to wild type Wuhan-1 bearing D614G of around 8-fold for both sets of vaccine sera and reduction against B.1.1.7 that did not reach statistical significance (Figure 1d). We also used a pseudotyped virus (PV) system to test neutralisation potency of a larger panel of 65 vaccine-elicited sera, this time against B.1.617.1 as well as B.1.617.2 spike compared to Wuhan-1 D614G spike (Figure 1e). Comparison of demographic data for vaccinees showed similar characteristics (Extended Data Table 1). The mean GMT against Delta Variant spike PV was lower for ChAdOx-1 compared to BNT162b2 (GMT 3372 versus 654, p<0001, Extended Data Table 1).
We investigated the role of the B.1.617.2 spike as an escape mechanism by testing 33 (3 NTD, 21 RBM- and 9 non-RBM-specific) spike-specific mAbs isolated from 6 individuals that recovered from WT SARS-CoV-2 infection with an in-vitro PV neutralization assay using Vero E6 target cells expressing Transmembrane protease serine 2 (TMPRSS2) and the Wuhan-1 D614G SARS-CoV-2 spike or the B.1.617.2 spike (Figure 2a-c, Extended Data Figure 1a-c and Extended Data Table 2). In addition, 5 clinical-stage RBM-mAbs (etesevimab, casirivimab, regdanvimab, imdevimab and bamlanivimab) were also tested using Vero E6 cells (Figure 2c, Extended Data Figure 1d and Extended Data Table 2). We found that all three NTD-mAbs (100%) and four out of nine (44%) non-RBM mAbs completely lost neutralizing activity against B.1.617.2 (Figure 2 b-c and Extended Data Figure 1a). Within the RBM-binding group, 16 out 26 mAbs (61.5%) showed a marked decrease (2-35 fold-change reduction) or complete loss (>40 fold-change reduction) of neutralizing activity to B.1.617.2, suggesting that in a sizeable fraction of RBM antibodies the L452R and T478K mutations are responsible for their loss of neutralizing activity (Figures 2b-c, Extended Data Figure 1b). Amongst the clinical-stage RBM-mAbs tested, bamlanivimab, which showed benefit in a clinical trial against prior variants17, did not neutralize B.1.617.2. Imdevimab, part of the REGN-COV2 therapeutic dual antibody cocktail18, displayed reduced neutralizing activity in Vero E6-TMPRSS2 cells (Figure 2c and Extended Data Figure 1d-f). The remaining clinical-stage mAbs, including S309 (the parental antibody from which sotrovimab was derived), retained potent neutralizing activity against B.1.617.2.
SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 variant shows higher replication in human airway model systems
We next sought biological evidence for the higher transmissibility predicted from the modelling. Increased replication could be responsible for generating greater numbers of virus particles, or the particles themselves could be more likely to lead to a productive infection. We first infected a lung epithelial cell line, Calu-3, comparing B.1.1.7 and B.1.617.2 (Figure 3a-d). We observed a replication advantage for B.1.617.2 as demonstrated by intracellular RNA transcripts and S and N proteins (Figure 3a-b), as well as analysis of released virions from cells (Figure 3c-d). Next we tested B.1.1.7 against two separate isolates of B.1.617.2 in a human airway epithelial model19. In this system we again observed that both B.1.617.2 isolates had a significant replication advantage over B.1.1.7 (Figure 3e-f). Finally, we infected primary 3D airway organoids20 (Figure 3g) with B.1.617.2 and B.1.1.7 virus isolates, noting a significant replication advantage for B.1.617.2 over B.1.1.7. These data clearly support higher replication rate and therefore transmissibility of B.1.617.2 over B.1.1.7.
In the aforementioned experiments we noted a higher proportion of intracellular B.1.617.2 spike in the cleaved state in comparison to B.1.1.7 (Figure 3b). In order to investigate this further we produced the two viruses as well as a B.1 D614G virus in Vero-hACE2-TMPRSS2 cells, harvested and purified supernatants at 48 hours before running western blots probing for spike S2 and nucleoprotein. This analysis showed that the B.1.617.2 spike was predominantly in the cleaved form, in contrast to B.1 and B.1.1.7 (Extended Data Figure 2a-b).
SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 spike has enhanced entry efficiency associated with cleaved spike
SARS-CoV-2 Spike is known to mediate cell entry via interaction with ACE2 and TMPRSS221 and is a major determinant of viral infectivity. In order to gain insight into the mechanism of increased infectivity of B.1.617.2, we tested single round viral entry of B.1.617.1 and B.1.617.2 spikes (Figure 3h,i and Extended Data Figure 3a-b) using the pseudotyped virus (PV) system, infecting Calu-3 lung cells expressing endogenous levels of ACE2 (Angiotensin Converting Enzyme 2) and TMPRSS2 (Transmembrane protease serine 2) (Figure 3j), as well as other cells transduced or transiently transfected with ACE2 / TMPRSS2 (Extended Data Figure 3b). We first probed PV virions and cell lysates for spike protein and noted that the B.1.617 spikes were present predominantly in cleaved form in cells and virions, in contrast to WT (Figure 3h-i, Extended Data Figure 3c). We observed one log increased entry efficiency for both B.1.617.1 and B.1.617.2. over Wuhan-1 D614G wild type in nearly all cells tested (Extended Data Figure 3b). In addition, B.1.617.2 appeared to have an entry advantage compared to B.1.617.1 in some cells, and in particular Calu-3 bearing endogenous receptors (Figure 3j). Finally, we wished to confirm higher infectivity using live virus isolates of B.1.617.1 and B.1.617.2. As expected from the PV comparison, B.1.617.2 showed increased replication kinetics B.1.617.1 in Calu-3 cells over 48 hours as measured by supernatant RNA and TCID50 (Figure 3k).
SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 spike confers increased syncytium formation
The plasma membrane route of entry, and indeed transmissibility in animal models, is critically dependent on the polybasic cleavage site (PBCS) between S1 and S219,22,23 and cleavage of spike prior to virion release from producer cells; this contrasts with the endosomal entry route, which does not require spike cleavage in producer cells.19,24,25. Mutations at P681 in the PBCS have been observed in multiple SARS-CoV-2 lineages, most notably in the B.1.1.7 Alpha variant24. We previously showed that B.1.1.7 spike, bearing P681H, had significantly higher fusogenic potential than a D614G Wuhan-1 virus24. Here we tested B.1.617.1 and B.1.617.2 spike using a split GFP system to monitor cell-cell fusion (Figure 4a, b, c). We transfected spike bearing plasmids into Vero cells stably expressing the two different parts of Split-GFP, so that GFP signal could be measured over time upon cell-cell fusion (Figure 4d). The B.1.617.1 and B.1.617.2 spike proteins mediated higher fusion activity and syncytium formation than WT, and were similar to B.1.1.7 (Figure 4d,e). The single P681R mutation was able to recapitulate this phenotype (Figure 4d,e). Finally we explored whether post vaccine sera could block syncytia formation, as this might be a mechanism for vaccine protection against pathogenesis. We titrated sera from ChAdOx-1 vaccinees and showed that indeed the cell-cell fusion could be inhibited in a manner that mirrored neutralisation activity of the sera against PV infection of cells (Figure 4f). Hence B.1.617.2 may induce cell-cell fusion in the respiratory tract and possibly higher pathogenicity even in vaccinated individuals with neutralising antibodies.
Breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 infections in vaccinated health care workers
Hitherto we have gathered epidemiological and biological evidence that the growth advantage of B.1.617.2 might relate to increased virus replication/transmissibility as well as re-infection due to evasion of neutralising antibodies from prior infection. We hypothesised that vaccine effectiveness against B.1.617.2 would be compromised relative to other circulating variants. Although overall national vaccination rates were low in India in the first quarter of 2021, vaccination of health care workers (HCW) started in early 2021 with the ChAdOx-1 vaccine (Covishield). During the wave of infections during March and April, an outbreak of symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 was confirmed in 30 vaccinated staff members amongst an overall workforce of 3800 at a single tertiary centre in Delhi by RT-PCR of nasopharyngeal swabs (age range 27-77 years). Genomic data from India suggested B.1.1.7 dominance overall (Figure 1a) and in the Delhi area during the first quarter of 2021 (Figure 5a), with growth of B.1.617 during March 2021. By April 2021, 385 out of 604 sequences reported to GISAID for Delhi were B.1.617.2. Short-read sequencing26 of symptomatic individuals in the HCW outbreak revealed the majority were B.1.617.2 with a range of other B lineage viruses including B.1.1.7 and B.1.617.1 (Figure 5b). There were no cases that required ventilation though one HCW received oxygen therapy. Phylogenetic analysis demonstrated a group of highly related, and in some cases, genetically indistinct sequences that were sampled within one or two days of each other (Figure 5b). These data are consistent with a single transmission from an infected individual, constituting an over dispersion or ‘super spreader’ event. We next looked in greater detail at the vaccination history of cases. Nearly all had received two doses at least 21 days previously, and median time since second dose was 27 days.
We obtained similar data on vaccine breakthrough infections in two other health facilities in Delhi with 1100 and 4000 HCW staff members respectively (Figure 5c-d). In hospital two there were 118 sequences from symptomatic, non-fatal infections, representing over 10% of the workforce over a 4 week period. After filtering, we reconstructed phylogenies using 66 with high quality whole genome coverage >95%. In hospital three there were 70 symptomatic, non-fatal infections from which genomes were generated, with 52 high quality genomes used for inferring phylogenies after filtering (Figure 5c-d). As expected from variants circulating in the community, we observed that B.1.617.2 dominated vaccinebreakthrough HCW infections (Figure 5c-d).
Across the three centres we noted that the median age of those infected with B.1.617.2 versus non-B.1.617.2 was similar [36.5 versus 32.5, p=0.56, (Extended Data Table 3)]. Half of breakthrough infections were in females regardless of variant. We observed no significant difference in the median duration of symptoms in B.1.617.2 versus non-B.1.617.2 infections (1.5 versus 1.0 days respectively, Extended Data Table 3), consistent with efficient symptomatic staff testing. Around 5% of symptomatic infections resulted in hospitalisation, with no evidence that B.1.617.2 was associated with higher risk of hospitalisation (Extended Data Table 3). The magnitude of vaccine responses in a limited sample of HCW with subsequent breakthrough was measured and appeared similar to responses in a control group of HCW that did not subsequently test positive for SARS-CoV-2 (Extended Data Figure 4). Analysis of Ct values in positive samples by hospital did not show significant differences between HCW infected with B.1.617.2 versus non-B.1.617.2 (Extended Data Figure 4).
Next, we evaluated the effect of B.1.617.2 on vaccine effectiveness (VE) against symptomatic infection in the HCWs as compared to other lineages. In terms of observational studies the test negative case control approach would be ideal. Given the lack of availability of test negative data in our HCW setting we used an alternative approach to estimate VE used by Public Health England (PHE)27. If the vaccine had equal effectiveness against B.1.617.2 and non-B.1.617.2, a similar proportion of B.1.617.2 and non-B.1.617.2 breakthrough cases would be expected in both vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals. However, in our HCW, non-B.1.617.2 was isolated in a lower proportion of symptomatic cases in the fully vaccinated group compared to unvaccinated cases (Extended Data Table 4). We used multivariable logistic regression to estimate the odds ratio of testing positive with B.1.617.2 versus non-B.1.617.2 in vaccinated relative to unvaccinated individuals, adjusting for age, sex and hospital. The adjusted odds ratio for B.1.617.2 relative to non-B.1.617.2 was 5.45 (95% CI 1.39-21.4, p=0.018) for two vaccine doses (Extended Data Table 4). Calendar time, often associated with vaccination status, was unlikely to be a significant confounder here given the short time period studied. The analysis presented, whilst limited by relatively small numbers of non-B.1.671.2 infections and potentially affected by unmeasured confounders, is nevertheless consistent with UK data where the non-B.1.617.2 infections were largely B.1.1.728.
Discussion
Here we have combined in vitro experimentation and molecular epidemiology to propose that increased replication fitness and reduced sensitivity of SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 to neutralising antibodies have contributed to the recent rapid replacement of B.1.1.7 and other lineages by B.1.617.2 in countries such as India, the U.S and the U.K (https://www.gisaid.org), despite high vaccination rates in adults and/or high prevalence of prior infection28.
We demonstrate evasion of neutralising antibodies by a B.1.617.2 live virus with sera from convalescent patients, as well as sera from individuals vaccinated with two different vaccines, one based on an adenovirus vector (ChAdOx-1), and the other mRNA based (BNT162b2). Our findings on reduced susceptibility of B.1.617.2 to vaccine elicited sera are similar to other reports29,30, including the lower GMT following two doses of ChAdOx-1 compared to BNT162b229. Although we did not map the mutations responsible, previous work with shows that L452R and T478K in the spike RBD are likely to have contributed10, as well as spike NTD mutations. The importance of NTD in both cell entry efficiency24,31 as well as antibody evasion is increasingly recognised32,33 and further work is needed to map specific determinants in the B.1.617.2 NTD.
We also report ChAdOx-1 vaccine breakthrough infections in health care workers at three Delhi hospitals. These infections were predominantly B.1.617.2, with a mix of other lineages including B.1.1.7, reflecting prevalence in community infections. We estimated the relative VE of ChAdOx-1 vaccination in our HCW analysis against B.1.617.2 versus other lineages, finding an increased odds of symptomatic infection and disease with B.1.617.2 compared to non-B.1.617.2 following two doses. These data indicate reduced VE against B.1.617.2 and support an immune evasion advantage for B.1.617.2.
It is important to consider that increased infectivity at mucosal surfaces and cell-cell fusion and spread34 may also facilitate ‘evasion’ from antibodies35. Indeed, our work also shows that that B.1.617.2 had a fitness advantage compared to B.1.1.7 across physiologically relevant systems including HAE and 3D airway organoids20 where cell free and cell-cell infection are likely to be occurring together. These data support the notion of higher infectiousness of B.1.617.2, either due to higher viral burden or higher particle infectivity, resulting in higher probability of person-to-person transmission. We noted that B.1.617.2 live virus particles contained a higher proportion of cleaved spike compared to B.1.1.7, and postulated that this is involved in the mechanism of increased infectivity. Consistent with this hypothesis, we observed that PV particles bearing B.1.617.2 spike demonstrated significantly enhanced entry into a range of target cells.
The B.1.617.1 variant was detected before B.1.617.2 in India, and the reasons for B.1.617.2 out-competing B.1.617.1 are unknown. We report that B.1.617.2 has a replication advantage in lung cells compared to B.1.617.1, and that this is reflected in a PV entry advantage driven by spike. Given our data showing that B.1.617.2 and B.1.617.1 spikes confer similar sensitivities to sera from vaccinees, superior fitness is a parsimonious explanation for the growth advantage of B.1.617.2 over B.1.617.1.
Virus infectivity and fusogenicity mediated by the PBCS is a key determinant of pathogenicity and transmissibility19,36 and there are indications that giant cells/syncytia formation are associated with fatal disease37. Spike cleavage and stability of cleaved spike are likely therefore to be critical parameters for future SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern. B.1.617.2 spike demonstrated similar kinetics of syncytia formation as compared to B.1.1.7, likely attributable to P681R. We show that vaccine-elicited sera can inhibit syncytia formation, and that this blockade of cell-cell fusion is compromised for B.1.617.2, potentially also permitting virus to pass from cell to cell and thereby evading neutralising antibodies generated following vaccination.
The REGN-COV2 dual monoclonal antibody therapy containing casirivimab and imedevimab was shown to improve survival for non-B.1.617.2 infections 38. Reduced efficacy for imedevimab against B.1.617.2 shown here could translate to compromised clinical efficacy. Moreover, it could lead to possible selection of escape variants where there is immune compromise and chronic SARS-CoV-2 infection with B.1.6 1 7.239. Further work to explore these possibilities is urgently needed.
Although protection against infection with B.1.351 (the variant with least sensitivity to neutralising antibodies) has been demonstrated for at least three vaccines13,40–42, progression to severe disease and death has been low. Therefore, at population scale, extensive vaccination will likely protect against moderate to severe disease due to B.1.617.2. Indeed data from the UK already demonstrate low incidence of severe disease in vaccinees (PHE technical report 17). However, our data on vaccine breakthrough and reduced vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic B.1.617.2 infection are of concern given that hospitals frequently treat individuals who may have suboptimal immune responses to vaccination due to comorbidity. Such patients could be at risk for severe disease following infection from HCW and indeed we document here a ‘super-spreading’ event involving infection vaccinated HCWs. Therefore strategies to boost vaccine responses against variants are warranted and attention to infection control procedures is needed in the post vaccine era.
Methods
Serum samples and ethical approval
Ethical approval for study of vaccine elicited antibodies in sera from vaccinees was obtained from the East of England – Cambridge Central Research Ethics Committee Cambridge (REC ref: 17/EE/0025). Use of convalescent sera had ethical approval from South Central Berkshire B Research Ethics Committee (REC ref: 20/SC/0206; IRAS 283805). Testing and sequencing of positive samples for genomic surveillance is part of Indian government mandated responsibilities of National Centres for Disease Control and CSIR-IGIB for public health purposes. Research related to these activities was approved by The Institutional Human Ethics Committee (NCDC/2020/NERC/14 and CSIR-IGIB/IHEC/2020-21/01)
Studies involving testing and sequencing of positive samples from health care workers were reviewed and approved by The Institutional Human Ethics Committees of NCDC and CSIR-IGIB(NCDC/2020/NERC/14 and CSIR-IGIB/IHEC/2020-21/01)
Sequencing Quality Control and Phylogenetic Analysis
Three sets of fasta concensus sequences were obtained from three separate Hospitals in Delhi, India. Initially, all sequences were concatenated into a multi-fasta, according to hospital, and then aligned to reference strain MN908947.3 (Wuhan-Hu-1) with mafft v4.475 43 using the --keeplength --addfragments options. Following this, all sequences were passed through Nextclade v0.15 (https://clades.nextstrain.org/) to determine the number of gap regions. This was noted and all sequences were assigned a lineage with Pangolin v3.1.544 and pangoLEARN (dated 15th June 2021). Sequences that could not be assigned a lineage were discarded. After assigning lineages, all sequences with more than 5% N-regions were also excluded.
Phylogenies were inferred using maximum-likelihood in IQTREE v2.1.445 using a GTR+R6 model with 1000 rapid bootstraps. The inferred phylogenies were annotated in R v4.1.0 using ggtree v3.0.246 and rooted on the SARS-CoV-2 reference sequence (MN908947.3). Nodes were arranged in descending order and lineages were annotated on the phylogeny as coloured tips, alongside a heatmap defining the number of ChAdOx-1 vaccines received from each patient.
Structural Analyses
The PyMOL Molecular Graphics System v.2.4.0 (https://github.com/schrodinger/pymol-open-source/releases) was used to map the location of the mutations defining the Delta lineage (B.1.617.2) onto closed-conformation spike protein - PDB: 6ZGE47.
Statistical Analyses
Vaccine breakthrough infections in Health care workers
Descriptive analyses of demographic and clinical data are presented as median and interquartile range (IQR) or mean and standard deviation (SD) when continuous and as frequency and proportion (%) when categorical. The difference in continuous and categorical data were tested using Wilcoxon rank sum or T-test and Chi-square test respectively. The association between Ct value and SARS-CoV-2 variant was examined using linear regression. Variants as the dependent variable were categorized into two groups: B.1.617.2 variant and non-B.1.617.2 variants. The following covariates were included in the model irrespective of confounding: age, sex, hospital and interval between symptom onset and nasal swab PCR testing.
Vaccine effectiveness
To estimate vaccine effectiveness (VE) for the B.1.617.2 variant relative to non-B.1.617.2 variants, we adopted a recently described approach27. This method is based on the premise that if the vaccine is equally effective against B.1.617.2 and non-B.1.617.2 variants, a similar proportion of cases with either variant would be expected in both vaccinated and unvaccinated cases. This approach overcomes the issue of higher background prevalence of one variant over the other. We determined the proportion of cases with the B.1.617.2 variant relative to all other circulating variants by vaccination status. We then used a logistic regression to estimate the odds ratio of testing positive with B.1.617.2 in vaccinated compared to unvaccinated individuals. The final regression model was adjusted for age as a continuous variable, sex and hospital as categorical variables. Model sensitivity and robustness to inclusion of these covariates was tested by an iterative process of sequentially adding the covariates to the model and examining the impact on the ORs and confidence internals until the final model was constructed (Extended Data Table 4). The R-square measure, as proposed by McFadden48, was used to test the fit of different specifications of the same model regression. This is was done by sequential addition of the variables adjusted for including age, sex and hospital until the final model was constructed. In addition, the absolute difference in Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) was estimated. The McFadden R2 measure of final model fitness was 0.11 indicating reasonable model fit. The addition of age, gender and hospital in the final regression model improved the measured fitness. However, the absolute difference in BIC was 13.34 between the full model and the model excluding the adjusting variable, providing strong support for the parsimonious model. The fully adjusted model was nonetheless used as the final model as the sensitivity analyses (Extended Data Table 4) showed robustness to the addition of the covariates.
Neutralisation titre analyses
The neutralisation by vaccine-elicited antibodies after the two doses of the BNT162b2 and Chad-Ox-1 vaccine was determined by infections in the presence of serial dilutions of sera as described below. The ID50 within groups were summarised as a geometric mean titre (GMT) and statistical comparison between groups were made with Mann-Whitney or Wilcoxon ranked sign test. Statistical analyses were done using Stata v13 and Prism v9.
Pseudotype virus experiments
Cells
HEK 293T CRL-3216, Hela-ACE-2 (Gift from James Voss), Vero CCL-81 were maintained in Dulbecco’s Modified Eagle Medium (DMEM) supplemented with 10% fetal calf serum (FCS), 100 U/ml penicillin, and 100mg/ml streptomycin. All cells were regularly tested and are mycoplasma free. H1299 cells were a kind gift from Sam Cook. Calu-3 cells were a kind gift from Paul Lehner, A549 A2T249 cells were a kind gift from Massimo Palmerini. Vero E6 Ace2/TMPRSS2 cells were a kind gift from Emma Thomson.
Pseudotype virus preparation for testing against vaccine elicited antibodies and cell entry
Plasmids encoding the spike protein of SARS-CoV-2 D614 with a C terminal 19 amino acid deletion with D614G were used. Mutations were introduced using Quickchange Lightning Site-Directed Mutagenesis kit (Agilent) following the manufacturer’s instructions. B.1.1.7 S expressing plasmid preparation was described previously, but in brief was generated by step wise mutagenesis. Viral vectors were prepared by transfection of 293T cells by using Fugene HD transfection reagent (Promega). 293T cells were transfected with a mixture of 11ul of Fugene HD, 1μg of pCDNA\19 spike-HA, 1ug of p8.91 HIV-1 gag-pol expression vector and 1.5μg of pCSFLW (expressing the firefly luciferase reporter gene with the HIV-1 packaging signal). Viral supernatant was collected at 48 and 72h after transfection, filtered through 0.45um filter and stored at −80°C as previously described. Infectivity was measured by luciferase detection in target 293T cells transfected with TMPRSS2 and ACE2.
Standardisation of virus input by SYBR Green-based product-enhanced PCR assay (SG-PERT)
The reverse transcriptase activity of virus preparations was determined by qPCR using a SYBR Green-based product-enhanced PCR assay (SG-PERT) as previously described50. Briefly, 10-fold dilutions of virus supernatant were lysed in a 1:1 ratio in a 2x lysis solution (made up of 40% glycerol v/v 0.25% Triton X-100 v/v 100mM KCl, RNase inhibitor 0.8 U/ml, TrisHCL 100mM, buffered to pH7.4) for 10 minutes at room temperature.
12μl of each sample lysate was added to thirteen 13μl of a SYBR Green master mix (containing 0.5μM of MS2-RNA Fwd and Rev primers, 3.5pmol/ml of MS2-RNA, and 0.125U/μl of Ribolock RNAse inhibitor and cycled in a QuantStudio. Relative amounts of reverse transcriptase activity were determined as the rate of transcription of bacteriophage MS2 RNA, with absolute RT activity calculated by comparing the relative amounts of RT to an RT standard of known activity.
Serum pseudotype neutralisation assay
Spike pseudotype assays have been shown to have similar characteristics as neutralisation testing using fully infectious wild type SARS-CoV-255.Virus neutralisation assays were performed on 293T cell transiently transfected with ACE2 and TMPRSS2 using SARS-CoV-2 spike pseudotyped virus expressing luciferase56. Pseudotyped virus was incubated with serial dilution of heat inactivated human serum samples or convalescent plasma in duplicate for 1h at 37°C. Virus and cell only controls were also included. Then, freshly trypsinized 293T ACE2/TMPRSS2 expressing cells were added to each well. Following 48h incubation in a 5% CO2 environment at 37°C, the luminescence was measured using Steady-Glo Luciferase assay system (Promega).
Neutralization Assays for convalescent plasma
Convalescent sera from healthcare workers at St. Mary’s Hospital at least 21 days since PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection were collected in May 2020 as part of the REACT2 study. Convalescent human serum samples were inactivated at 56°C for 30 min and replicate serial 2-fold dilutions (n=12) were mixed with an equal volume of SARs-CoV-2 (100 TCID50; total volume 100 μL) at 37°C for 1□h. Vero-hACE2 TMPRSS2 cells were subsequently infected with serial-fold dilutions of each sample for 3 days at 37°C. Virus neutralisation was quantified via crystal violet staining and scoring for cytopathic effect (CPE). Each-run included 1/5 dilutions of each test sample in the absence of virus to ensure virus-induced CPE in each titration. Back-titrations of SARs-CoV-2 infectivity were performed to demonstrate infection with ~100 TCID50 in each well.
Vaccinee Serum neutralization, live virus assays
Vero-Ace2-TMPRSS2 cells were seeded at a cell density of 2×10e4/well in 96w plate 24h before infection. Serum was titrated starting at a final 1:10 dilution with WT (SARS-CoV-2/human/Liverpool/REMRQ0001/2020), B.1.1.7 or B.1.617.2 virus isolates being added at MOI 0.01. The mixture was incubated 1h prior adding to cells. The plates were fixed with 8% PFA 72h post-infection and stained with Coomassie blue for 20 minutes. The plates were washed in water and dried for 2h. 1% SDS was added to wells and staining intensity was measured using FLUOstar Omega (BMG Labtech). Percentage cell survival was determined by comparing intensity of staining to an uninfected wells. A non-linear sigmoidal 4PL model (Graphpad Prism 9.1.2) was used to determine the ID50 for each serum.
VSV pseudovirus generation for monoclonal antibody assays
Replication defective VSV pseudovirus expressing SARS-CoV-2 spike proteins corresponding to the different VOC were generated as previously described with some modifications57. Lenti-X 293T cells (Takara, 632180) were seeded in 10-cm2 dishes at a density of 5e6 cells per dish and the following day transfected with 10 μg of WT or B.1.617.2 spike expression plasmid with TransIT-Lenti (Mirus, 6600) according to the manufacturer’s instructions. One day post-transfection, cells were infected with VSV-luc (VSV-G) with an MOI of 3 for 1 h, rinsed three times with PBS containing Ca2+/Mg2+, then incubated for an additional 24 h in complete media at 37°C. The cell supernatant was clarified by centrifugation, filtered (0.45 um), aliquoted, and frozen at −80°C.
Pseudotyped virus neutralization assay for mAb
Vero E6 expressing TMPRSS2 or not were grown in DMEM supplemented with 10% FBS and seeded into white 96 well plates (PerkinElmer, 6005688) at a density of 20 thousand cells per well. The next day, mAbs were serially diluted in pre-warmed complete media, mixed with WT or B.1.617.2 pseudoviruses and incubated for 1 h at 37°C in round bottom polypropylene plates. Media from cells was aspirated and 50 μl of virus-mAb complexes were added to cells and then incubated for 1 h at 37°C. An additional 100 μL of pre-warmed complete media was then added on top of complexes and cells incubated for an additional 1624 h. Conditions were tested in duplicate wells on each plate and at least six wells per plate contained untreated infected cells (defining the 0% of neutralization, “MAX RLU” value) and infected cells in the presence of S2E12 and S2X259 at 25 μg/ml each (defining the 100% of neutralization, “MIN RLU” value). Virus-mAb-containing media was then aspirated from cells and 50 μL of a 1:2 dilution of SteadyLite Plus (Perkin Elmer, 6066759) in PBS with Ca++ and Mg++ was added to cells. Plates were incubated for 15 min at room temperature and then were analysed on the Synergy-H1 (Biotek). Average of Relative light units (RLUs) of untreated infected wells (MAX RLUave) was subtracted by the average of MIN RLU (MIN RLUave) and used to normalize percentage of neutralization of individual RLU values of experimental data according to the following formula: (1-(RLUx - MIN RLUave) / (MAX RLUave – MIN RLUave)) x 100. Data were analyzed and visualized with Prism (Version 9.1.0). IC50 values were calculated from the interpolated value from the log(inhibitor) versus response, using variable slope (four parameters) nonlinear regression with an upper constraint of ≤100, and a lower constrain equal to 0. Each neutralization assay was conducted on two independent experiments, i.e., biological replicates, where each biological replicate contains a technical duplicate. IC50 values across biological replicates are presented as arithmetic mean ± standard deviation. The loss or gain of neutralization potency across spike variants was calculated by dividing the variant IC50 by the WT IC50 within each biological replicate, and then visualized as arithmetic mean ± standard deviation.
Plasmids for split GFP system to measure cell-cell fusion
pQCXIP□BSR□GFP11 and pQCXIP□GFP1□10 were from Yutaka Hata58 Addgene plasmid #68716; http://n2t.net/addgene:68716; RRID:Addgene_68716 and Addgene plasmid #68715; http://n2t.net/addgene:68715; RRID:Addgene_68715)
Cell-cell fusion assay
Cell-cell fusion assay was carried out as previously described59,60 but using a Split-GFP system. Briefly, Vero GFP1-10 and Vero-GFP11 cells were seeded at 80% confluence in a 1:1 ration in 24 multiwell plate the day before. Cells. were co-transfected with 0.5 μg of spike expression plasmids in pCDNA3 using Fugene 6 and following the manufacturer’s instructions (Promega). Cell-cell fusion was measured using an Incucyte and determined as the proportion of green area to total phase area. Data were then analysed using Incucyte software analysis. Graphs were generated using Prism 8 software.
Supporting information
Data availability
All fasta consensus sequences files used in this analysis are available from https://gisaid.org or from https://github.com/Steven-Kemp/hospital_india/tree/main/consensus_fasta. Code for the Bayesian modelling analysis is available at: https://github.com/ImperialCollegeLondon/delta_modelling
Acknowledgments
We would like to thank the Department of Biotechnology, NCDC, RKG is supported by a Wellcome Trust Senior Fellowship in Clinical Science (WT108082AIA). This study was supported by the Cambridge NIHRB Biomedical Research Centre. We would also like to thank Ankur Mutreja. We would like to thank Thushan de Silva for the Delta isolate and Kimia Kimelian. SAK is supported by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation via PANGEA grant: OPP1175094. I.A.T.M.F. is funded by a SANTHE award (DEL-15-006). We would like to thank Paul Lehner for Calu-3 cells. We would like to thank Clare Lloyd and Sejal Saglani for providing the primary airway epithelial cultures, and James Voss for HeLa ACE2. We thank the Geno2pheno UK consortium. The authors acknowledge support from the G2P-UK National Virology consortium funded by MRC/UKRI (grant ref: MR/W005611/1).This study was also supported by The Rosetrees Trust and the Geno2pheno UK consortium. SF acknowledges the EPSRC (EP/V002910/1). KS is supported by AMED Research Program on Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases (20fk0108270 and 20fk0108413), JST SICORP (JPMJSC20U1 and JPMJSC21U5) and JST CREST (JPMJCR20H4).
Competing Interests
J.B., C.S.-F., C.S., D.P., D.C. and L.P. are employees of Vir Biotechnology and may hold shares in Vir Biotechnology. RKG has received consulting fees from Johnson and Johnson and GSK.
INSACOG CONSORTIUM MEMBERS
NIBMG: Saumitra Das, Arindam Maitra, Sreedhar Chinnaswamy, Nidhan Kumar Biswas;
ILS: Ajay Parida, Sunil K Raghav, Punit Prasad;
InSTEM/ NCBS: Apurva Sarin, Satyajit Mayor, Uma Ramakrishnan, Dasaradhi Palakodeti, Aswin Sai Narain Seshasayee;
CDFD: K Thangaraj, Murali Dharan Bashyam, Ashwin Dalal;
NCCS: Manoj Bhat, Yogesh Shouche, Ajay Pillai;
IGIB: Anurag Agarwal, Sridhar Sivasubbu, Vinod Scaria;
NIV: Priya Abraham, Potdar Varsha Atul, Sarah S Cherian;
NIMHANS: Anita Sudhir Desai, Chitra Pattabiraman, M. V. Manjunatha, Reeta S Mani, Gautam Arunachal Udupi;
NCDC: Sujeet Singh, Himanshu Chauhan, Partha Rakshit, Tanzin Dikid;
CCMB: Vinay Nandicoori, Karthik Bharadwaj Tallapaka, Divya Tej Sowpati
The Genotype to Phenotype Japan (G2P-Japan) Consortium members
The Institute of Medical Science, The University of Tokyo: Jumpei Ito, Izumi Kimura, Keiya Uriu, Yusuke Kosugi, Mai Suganami, Akiko Oide, Miyabishara Yokoyama, Mika Chiba
Hiroshima University: Ryoko Kawabata, Nanami Morizako
Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Public Health: Kenji Sadamasu, Hiroyuki Asakura, Mami Nagashima, Kazuhisa Yoshimura
University of Miyazaki: Akatsuki Saito, Erika P Butlertanaka, Yuri L Tanaka
Kumamoto University: Terumasa Ikeda, Chihiro Motozono, Hesham Nasser, Ryo Shimizu, Yue Yuan, Kazuko Kitazato, Haruyo Hasebe
Tokai University: So Nakagawa, Jiaqi Wu, Miyoko Takahashi
Hokkaido University: Takasuke Fukuhara, Kenta Shimizu, Kana Tsushima, Haruko Kubo
Kyoto University: Kotaro Shirakawa, Yasuhiro Kazuma, Ryosuke Nomura, Yoshihito Horisawa, Akifumi Takaori-Kondo
National Institute of Infectious Diseases: Kenzo Tokunaga, Seiya Ozono
The CITIID-NIHR BioResource COVID-19 Collaboration
Principal Investigators
Ravindra K Gupta1,2,3, Stephen Baker2, 3, Gordon Dougan2, 3, Christoph Hess2,3,28,29, Nathalie Kingston22, 12, Paul J. Lehner2,20,3, Paul A. Lyons2, 3, Nicholas J. Matheson2, 3, Willem H. Owehand22, Caroline Saunders21, Charlotte Summers3,26,27,30, James E.D. Thaventhiran2, 3, 24, Mark Toshner3, 26, 27, Michael P. Weekes2,20, Patrick Maxwell22,30, Ashley Shaw30
CRF and Volunteer Research Nurses
Ashlea Bucke21, Jo Calder21, Laura Canna21, Jason Domingo21, Anne Elmer21, Stewart Fuller21, Julie Harris43, Sarah Hewitt21, Jane Kennet21, Sherly Jose21, Jenny Kourampa21, Anne Meadows21, Criona O’Brien43, Jane Price21, Cherry Publico21, Rebecca Rastall21, Carla Ribeiro21, Jane Rowlands21, Valentina Ruffolo21, Hugo Tordesillas21,
Sample Logistics
Ben Bullman2, Benjamin J. Dunmore3, Stuart Fawke32, Stefan Gräf3,22,12, Josh Hodgson3, Christopher Huang3, Kelvin Hunter2 3, Emma Jones31, Ekaterina Legchenko3, Cecilia Matara3, Jennifer Martin3, Federica Mescia2, 3, Ciara O’Donnell3, Linda Pointon3, Nicole Pond2, 3, Joy Shih3, Rachel Sutcliffe3, Tobias Tilly3, Carmen Treacy3, Zhen Tong3, Jennifer Wood3, Marta Wylot38,
Sample Processing and Data Acquisition
Laura Bergamaschi2, 3, Ariana Betancourt2, 3, Georgie Bower2, 3, Chiara Cossetti2, 3, Aloka De Sa3, Madeline Epping2, 3, Stuart Fawke32, Nick Gleadall22, Richard Grenfell33, Andrew Hinch2,3, Oisin Huhn34, Sarah Jackson3, Isobel Jarvis3, Ben Krishna3, Daniel Lewis3, Joe Marsden3, Francesca Nice41, Georgina Okecha3, Ommar Omarjee3, Marianne Perera3, Martin Potts3, Nathan Richoz3, Veronika Romashova2,3, Natalia Savinykh Yarkoni3, Rahul Sharma3, Luca Stefanucci22, Jonathan Stephens22, Mateusz Strezlecki33, Lori Turner2, 3,
Clinical Data Collection
Eckart M.D.D. De Bie3, Katherine Bunclark3, Masa Josipovic42, Michael Mackay3, Federica Mescia2,3, Alice Michael27, Sabrina Rossi37, Mayurun Selvan3, Sarah Spencer15, Cissy Yong37
Royal Papworth Hospital ICU
Ali Ansaripour27, Alice Michael27, Lucy Mwaura27, Caroline Patterson27, Gary Polwarth27
Addenbrooke’s Hospital ICU
Petra Polgarova30, Giovanni di Stefano30
Cambridge and Peterborough Foundation Trust
Codie Fahey36, Rachel Michel36
ANPC and Centre for Molecular Medicine and Innovative Therapeutics
Sze-How Bong23, Jerome D. Coudert35, Elaine Holmes39
NIHR BioResource
John Allison22,12, Helen Butcher12,40, Daniela Caputo12,40, Debbie Clapham-Riley12,40, Eleanor Dewhurst12,40, Anita Furlong12,40, Barbara Graves12,40, Jennifer Gray12,40, Tasmin Ivers12,40, Mary Kasanicki12,30, Emma Le Gresley12,40, Rachel Linger12,40, Sarah Meloy12,40, Francesca Muldoon12,40, Nigel Ovington22,12, Sofia Papadia12,40, Isabel Phelan12,40, Hannah Stark12,40, Kathleen E Stirrups22,12, Paul Townsend22,12, Neil Walker22,12, Jennifer Webster12,40, Ingrid Scholtes40, Sabine Hein40, Rebecca King40
1University College London, Infection & Immunity, London, UK
2Cambridge Institute of Therapeutic Immunology & Infectious Disease, Cambridge, UK.
3Department of Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
4Humabs Biomed SA, a subsidiary of Vir Biotechnology, 6500 Bellinzona, Switzerland.
5Department of Biochemistry, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA
6Vir Biotechnology, San Francisco, CA 94158, USA.
7Clinic of Internal Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Clinica Luganese Moncucco, 6900 Lugano, Switzerland
8Division of Infectious Diseases, Luigi Sacco Hospital, University of Milan, Milan, Italy
9 The CITIID-NIHR BioResource COVID-19 Collaboration, see appendix 1 for author list
10 NIHR Cambridge Clinical Research Facility, Cambridge, UK.
11 NIHR Bioresource, Cambridge, UK
12 University of Kent, Canturbury, UK
13Department of Clinical Biochemistry and Immunology, Addenbrookes Hospital, UK
14 Laboratorio de Inmunologia, S-Cuautitlán, UNAM, Mexico
16 Institute of Biodiversity, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
17Department of Haematology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 0QQ, UK
18University of KwaZulu Natal, Durban, South Africa
19Africa Health Research Institute, Durban, South Africa
20Dept of Infectious Diseases, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Trust, Cambridge UK.
21Cambridge Clinical Research Centre, NIHR Clinical Research Facility, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Addenbrooke’s Hospital, Cambridge CB2 0QQ, UK
22University of Cambridge, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge CB2 0QQ, UK
23Australian National Phenome Centre, Murdoch University, Murdoch, Western Australia WA 6150, Australia
24MRC Toxicology Unit, School of Biological Sciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 1QR, UK
25R&D Department, Hycult Biotech, 5405 PD Uden, The Netherlands
26Heart and Lung Research Institute, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge CB2 0QQ, UK
27Royal Papworth Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge CB2 0QQ, UK
28Department of Biomedicine, University and University Hospital Basel, 4031Basel, Switzerland
29Botnar Research Centre for Child Health (BRCCH) University Basel & ETH Zurich, 4058 Basel, Switzerland
30Addenbrooke’s Hospital, Cambridge CB2 0QQ, UK
31Department of Veterinary Medicine, Madingley Road, Cambridge, CB3 0ES, UK
32Cambridge Institute for Medical Research, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge CB2 0XY, UK
33Cancer Research UK, Cambridge Institute, University of Cambridge CB2 0RE, UK
34Department of Obstetrics & Gynaecology, The Rosie Maternity Hospital, Robinson Way, Cambridge CB2 0SW, UK
35Centre for Molecular Medicine and Innovative Therapeutics, Health Futures Institute, Murdoch University, Perth, WA, Australia
36Cambridge and Peterborough Foundation Trust, Fulbourn Hospital, Fulbourn, Cambridge, UK
37Department of Surgery, Addenbrooke’s Hospital, Cambridge CB2 0QQ, UK
38Department of Biochemistry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 1QW, UK
39Centre of Computational and Systems Medicine, Health Futures Institute, Murdoch University, Harry Perkins Building, Perth, WA 6150, Australia
40Department of Public Health and Primary Care, School of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, UK